MEMVIE (Mathematical & Economic Modelling for Vaccination and Immunisation Evaluation)

In June 2017 I began work on a project between Warwick and the UK Department of Health, entitled MEMVIE (Mathematical & Economic Modelling for Vaccination and Immunisation Evaluation). The project involved the construction of novel mathematical and statistical models for simulating the spread of infectious diseases in humans, and evaluating the cost-effectiveness of different vaccination interventions.

My focus was on seasonal influenza. The outputs of the models were used in conjunction with independent modelling done by Public Health England (part of the Department of Health), to advise on future vaccination policy in the UK. The project is headed by Matt Keeling and my research partners included: Graham Medley(London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine), Martin Underwood, Stavros Petrou, Sophie Staniszewska and Tinevimbo Shiri (Warwick Medical School).

Peer-reviewed publications:

• Developing a Framework for Public Involvement in Mathematical and Economic Modelling: Bringing New Dynamism to Vaccination Policy Recommendations.
  Sophie Stanizewska, Edward M Hill, Richard Grant, Peter Grove, Jarina Porter, Tinevimbo Shiri, Sue Tulip, Jane Whitehurst, Claire Wright, Samik Datta, Stavros Petrou, Matt J Keeling. (2021)
  Patient. doi:10.1007/s40271-020-00476-x
  

• Optimising age coverage of seasonal influenza vaccination in England: A mathematical and health economic evaluation.
  Edward M Hill, Stavros Petrou, Henry Forster, Simon de Lusignan, Ivelina Yonova, Matt J Keeling (2020)
  PLoS Comput Biol 16(10): e1008278. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008278
  

• Seasonal influenza: Modelling approaches to capture immunity propagation.
  Edward M Hill, Stavros Petrou, Simon de Lusignan, Ivelina Yonova, Matt J Keeling (2019)
  PLoS Comput Biol 15(10): e1007096. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007096