MEMVIE (Mathematical & Economic Modelling for Vaccination and Immunisation Evaluation)
Research
Active projects
Mathematical & Economic Modelling for Vaccination and Immunisation Evaluation (MEMVIE): Epidemiologcal modelling and health economic modelling to underpin vaccination policy for the Department of Health.
Farmer-led Epidemic & Endemic Disease-management (FEED): Employing interdisciplinary approaches to improve our understanding of the impact on livestock disease outbreaks of farmer-led control and variation in livestock disease management behaviours amongst farmers. We can then use this knowledge to take farmer-led control into account and develop effective control strategies for livestock disease outbreaks.
Investigating the impact of symptom propagation on health economic outcomes: Using mathematical models as a tool to explore the extent to which symptom propagation exists and its subsequent impact on health economic assessments.
Quantifying the impact of HPAI in wild bird and domestic poultry populations: Using mathematical modelling to understand the spread and inform the control of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in wild birds and domestic poultry in the UK.
Previous projects
Response to the COVID-19 pandemic: Using real time data on the UK COVID-19 outbreak to provide robust predictions, gauging the ability of a model to predict future epidemic behaviour.
Social contagion: Spread of behaviour-linked health problems are amenable to being represented with methodological approaches typically used to model infectious diseases. We explore this with regards to depression, developing novel models that exploit the dynamical behaviour of mood over time to ascertain which mood states spread on social networks, via a contagion-like mechanism, and which do not.
Influenza A at the human-animal interface: Influenza inhabits many hosts and has many strains, but there is a worrying gap in the modelling of spillover transmission from animals to humans. Looking at addressing the lack of established modelling tools that represent this interface, with the applied aim of aiding the design and performance assessment of control strategies for influenza among livestock and across the animal-human interface.
Visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil: Developing a mathematical model of visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil; a vector borne disease with canines being an animal reservoir.
